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Is booming Germany caught in an ant trap-spun1
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Is booming Germany caught within an ant trap,[url=http://parajumpersoutletjackets.webmium.com/][b]http://parajumpersoutletjackets.webmium.com/[/b][/url]
A week ago, the Berlin government announced the best results because the wall fell in '89. From the first quarter to the second one the republic's GDP rose 2.2%. At this rate - about 9% a year if it continues - Germany is running neck and neck with China. When compared with France and also the US, Germany is flying over 3 times as fast. Greece meanwhile is backing up. Its economy shrank 1.5% last quarter.
The Teuton tribes are an aggressive lot. The Usipetes, Tenchteri, Batavi, Cherusci, Chatti, Vandals, Goths, Franks, Alans, Suebians - all jostled one another for centuries. They must have gotten an idea for competition. And when Rome wheezed her last gasps they fell on her behalf like French tax collectors on a widow's estate. The Vandals pushed completely across Gaul and Iberia, crossed to North Africa,[url=http://peutereyjacketsuppliers.webmium.com/][b]Peuterey Jacket uk[/b][/url], and using their new base in Carthage, continued to tickle that old Empire until it rolled over in it.
Everybody has his elbows out. But competition takes many forms. Better to build Audis and Mercedes than Tigers and Messerschmitts. Better to race for share of the market than for the Champs Élysée. Whatever form it takes, competition isn't likely to stop. Happily, most of the time,[url=http://duveticadoudoune.halod.com/][b]Femmes Doudoune[/b][/url], it's a boon to everyone - even going to the losers. That's why Germany's current success is just a threat towards the economists and commentarists who've been giving her advice. Average folks hold our breath and expect more.
It was merely a month ago that Martin Wolf led a "great debate" on how governments should react to the economic crisis. Of all the ideas to come out of financial crisis of '07, Wolf proposed probably the most remarkable. He illustrated it with the fable from the ant and the grasshopper. He saw two types of economies. There were the ones that produced and those that consumed. The trouble,[url=http://monclerjackendeutschland.albirank.net/][b]http://monclerjackendeutschland.albirank.net/[/b][/url], based on Wolf, was that the two didn't compete whatsoever. Instead, they lived inside a type of symbiotic parasitism. The grasshoppers lived from the labors of the ants. Not just did the grasshoppers result in the things that the ants used, the ants took the grasshoppers' money and lent it back to them, so that they could buy more. The grasshoppers were ruining themselves. However the ants were creating a mistake too. They were building up capital, but what could they do by using it? There is no point in expanding output capacity; arguably, they already produced too much. And what could they buy? The grasshoppers had nothing to sell.
That was not the worst of it. Once the grasshoppers had spent an excessive amount of, said Wolf, both bugs were trapped. If the grasshoppers in Spain and Greece were instructed to reduce expenses, the ants in Düsseldorf were condemned to market less. Their economies were doomed to visit down together, like galley slaves chained to a sinking ship.
Regardless, it appeared as if the type of thing the fixers could fix. Germany is all make. Greece is all take. The machine was from whack. Trade flows must balance to zero, so Wolf et al concluded that the issue might be corrected on either side. Germany could cease working so hard and exporting so much stuff it didn't want. Or, Greece could stop spending so much money it did not have. Since any slowdown in spending threatens the "recovery," it might be better for Germans to complete more spending themselves. They should raise wages and encourage their very own people to buy more Audis…more ouzo…and more pointy shoes with curled up toes. It was no time for austerity.
They misunderstood the problem. Imagine two men marooned with an island. They barely survive. One works hard, hunting, gathering, and planting. Another dances about the beach like Zorba, depending on the kindness of his companion for his daily rations. The issue is not the lack of balance. The issue is the slacker. You could redress the balance together by getting the productive one to slack off too. But then, they'd both starve.
The euro was seen as part of the problem,[url=http://woolrichdeutschlandarcticparka.albirank.net/][b]woolrich deutschland women online shop[/b][/url], too. It had been either too low for Germany or too high for Greece,[url=http://parajumpersoutletjackets.webmium.com/][b]parajumpers bear vest outlet Hampton Roads Technology Council[/b][/url], said analysts. In the good old days, Greece could have pulled a fast one, devaluing its currency to create its citizens poorer, and their labor and exports cheaper. However,[url=http://parajumpersoutletjackets.webmium.com/][b]parajumpers outlet jackets[/b][/url], there isn't any cheap and simple solution.
Which set us to a-wondering about how exactly the planet possibly got to where it is. For the hundred years in the end of the Napoleonic Wars towards the beginning of WWII, Europe was rarely happier, more prosperous…or more at peace. Yet during that time, money was even more inflexible compared to euro. Governments did not commit premeditated murder that belongs to them currencies. Instead, the need for paper money was protected by gold. People competed by working harder, saving more, and determining how you can produce more with less - just like the Germans do now.
This week, the Merkel team accompanied. "The lady's not for turning,[url=http://peutereyjacketsuppliers.webmium.com/][b]http://peutereyjacketsuppliers.webmium.com/[/b][/url]," Ms. Merkel may have said,[url=http://giuseppezanottisneakerssale.webmium.com/][b]giuseppe zanotti Outlet Shoes for Sale[/b][/url], going for a line from Margaret Thatcher's 1980 Brighton speech. With the pressure off its budget, the commentators thought the Germans might be lured to ease on their austerity program. Instead, the German government will continue to pursue cuts to military and social spending,[url=http://duveticadoudoune.halod.com/][b]Femmes Manteaux Duvetica Soldes Femmes Doudoune Duvetica Pas Cher[/b][/url], she said. Success won't distract Germany from the austerity program. Whether failure will be sending them back the rails is a question to become answered later.
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